September 23, 2026

2026 Fourth Quarter Market Outlook

Latest Publications 2026 Fourth Quarter Market Outlook

Equities Under the Weight of Yields

The third quarter tested the durability of the U.S. economy, and it largely held up. The war in Iran continued, driving oil prices past $100 a barrel and keeping headline inflation stuck near 3.4% even as core inflation continued to cool. Economic growth data sent mixed signals as first-half GDP came in soft but the Atlanta Fed's real-time tracking model points to a sharp third-quarter acceleration, with consensus estimates still calling for a solid expansion. Labor market growth has picked up this year, and the economy that many expected to buckle under geopolitical pressure instead kept moving forward.

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The Market Outlook is published by Cetera Investment Management LLC, an SEC registered adviser owned by Cetera Financial Group. Cetera Investment Management provides market perspectives, portfolio guidance, model management, and other investment advice to its affiliated broker-dealers, dually registered broker-dealers and registered investment advisers.